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Updated September 30, 2022 Fact checked by Fact checked by Amanda JacksonAmanda Jackson has expertise in personal finance, investing, and social services. She is a library professional, transcriptionist, editor, and fact-checker.
There is no difference between term structure and a yield curve; the yield curve is simply another name to describe the term structure of interest rates.
The term structure of interest rates is a graph that plots the yields of similar bonds in the Y-axis with the maturities, or time, in the X-axis.
The reason why the term structure of interest rates and a yield curve are the same is because the graph of the term structure of interest rates literally plots different yields being offered by bonds of different maturities. The term structure of interest rates can take one of three yield curve shapes: normal, inverted, or flat.
A normal yield curve means that as the maturity of the bonds increases in time, so do the yields, creating a convex shape.
An inverted yield curve means short-term yields are higher than long-term yields, and the curve slopes downward in a concave fashion. This means yields and maturities are negatively inverted.
A flat yield curve means there is little or no variation between yields and maturities, and all maturities have similar yields. This makes the yield curve parallel to the X-axis.
Generally, the term structure of interest rates is a good measure of future economic growth expectations. If there is a highly positive normal curve, it is a signal investors believe future economic growth to be strong and inflation high. If there is a highly negative inverted curve, it is a signal investors believe future economic growth to be sluggish and inflation low. A flat yield curve means investors are unsure about the future.
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